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Spain tops this group after beating England and Croatia in their first two matches in the UEFA Nations League. With their two opponents drawing 0-0 on Friday, Spain knows that with their current goal difference of +7, just a point from their last two games should win them the group. It'd be better to finish it off with a game to spare though and that's the most likely result in this game. The Spaniards beat Wales 4-1 in a friendly last Thursday making it twelve goals in three games this season and making their fans wonder why they couldn't have been more positive in the World Cup. Over 90 minutes Spain still haven't lost since being knocked out of Euro 2016 and last lost a home match when going down 1-0 in a friendly against Georgia two years ago. Not since 2003 have they lost a home competitive match so you can see the job England have on their hands.
The English side should have beaten Croatia on Friday and go into this game knowing only two wins in their final couple of group matches will give them any chance of reaching the finals. Marcus Rashford had two great chances to secure victory but both were wasted. England, despite all the enthusiasm about their team, has only won two of their last eight games and Golden Boot winner Harry Kane has gone six games without scoring for England. That's better than Raheem Sterling who hasn't scored an international goal since 2015 but still keeps getting picked. The brightest moments of the Croatia game were the debuts of Chilwell and Sando. England will be without the suspended Stones and Henderson for this game and the tip here is for Spain to get the win and be ahead at both half and full time.
While Turkey is sure of staying second regardless of the result in this match, they also are aware of the prize for winning this game and they will be keen to get one over the team that beat them 2 – 1 at home back in September. Russia is unbeaten in their last five matches and hopes to extend the fine run they have carried from the 2018 World Cup when Sweden comes calling. However, three of the five are draws. They have one loss in the last nine matches and this will be the second time they face Turkey in recent times, the two having drawn 1 – 1 pre World Cup. Russia has managed just two clean sheets in their last 16 matches and at home, they have suffered three losses in their last 13 matches. Turkey’s previous matches have been dominated by draws; four of the last seven have ended in draws and they have managed two wins in the process. The Turks have three clean sheets in their last 16 matches and away from home, they have managed just one clean sheet in 11 while they have two wins, three losses and five draws in the last 10 away matches. Russia has never lost to Turkey in the five meetings between the two nations; they have picked three wins and two draws, keeping three clean sheets in the run, with only one game producing over 2.5 goals.
Russia is on a good run, which started back then in the 2018 World Cup and the momentum doesn’t seem to slow for the team lowly rated before the World Cup. They draw with Sweden at home in the Thursday UNL game and playing their second straight home match, they will hope to get three points. They are favorites, not just because of playing at home but also by the fact that they have been very dominant against Turkey. This will be the third meeting between the two sides only this year, and it will be the fifth in history, and Turkey has been winless throughout, only managing two draws. In the five matches, only one has ended in over 2.5 goals and we have reason to feel even this will end that way, with Turkey having netted more than a goal in just one of their last four matches while Russia has scored two or more in three of the last four matches. A Russia win here is the more likely outcome.
DC United was rock bottom of the MLS Eastern Conference but then Wayne Rooney arrived in town and he's made a big impact on them. 16 appearances have seen Rooney scored nine goals and United now find themselves in seventh place in the conference and only two points adrift of the playoffs. Over the last 15 games, they are the fourth highest points scorers and are on an unbeaten run of seven league and cup games. The last six league matches have delivered four wins and two draws with 16 goals with five of those matches having over 2.5 goals scored in them. Home form is impressive with ten league wins, two draws and two defeats with just one loss in the last ten. The two teams to win at DC United are both in the top four but United face another tough game here.
Their opponents are FC Dallas who are top of the Western Conference. They have a four-point lead over Sporting Kansas City and Los Angeles United with the top two automatically going into the play-off quarter-finals. They have only lost one of their last eight league games but on their travels have lost five league matches with only one win in their last five and two from the last eight with only one home league loss all season. Dallas has only scored 19 away league goals and has a -3 goal difference. With DC United in such good form, particularly at home, the tip here is for a home victory.
This three-team group has already become a straight shoot-out between Belgium and Switzerland. Both teams have had wins over Iceland in their opening fixture and the winner of this game will be in a strong position to finish top and qualify for next year's finals, though it's probably correct to believe the Swiss would be happy to come away from this game with a point setting up a potential group decider on home territory. Switzerland was the first to take on Iceland and won their home game 6-0.
That win followed an up and down display in the World Cup where they drew with Brazil but lost to Sweden in the last sixteen. They followed up that easy win over Iceland with a 1-0 loss in a friendly against England leaving them with just one win in their last four internationals and aside from that win over Iceland, the Swiss have failed to score in two of their last three matches.
Belgium never seems to have a problem scoring and two games since finishing third in Russia have seen them beat Scotland 4-0 away and then open their UEFA Nations League campaign with a 3-0 home win over Iceland. Those wins made it 10 victories out of the last 11 with the other game being that semi-final loss to eventual World Champions France. Home form for Belgium has seen them unbeaten in 13 games with goals being scored left, right and center. Eden Hazard is in top form at present which is always good news for the Belgians and they can get a win in this match to go top of the group.
The last couple of years have been dark ones for Italy and the early signs this season are that they are still a long way off rediscovering their former glory. Their latest test comes against a Ukraine side which also missed out on the World Cup but is in good form heading into this Wednesday’s international friendly in Genoa.
Roberto Mancini is the man who has been tasked with rebuilding this Italian side following the failure of their World Cup qualifying campaign. He won his first match in May, a 2-1 victory over Saudi Arabia but it has been four winless games since, which includes a poor start to their UEFA Nations League campaign last month. A home draw with Poland and defeat in Portugal leaves them faced with the prospect of dropping down to the second tier of that competition with a trip to Poland coming this weekend.
Italy may see Ukraine as a good preparation for that match. The UEFA Nations League will be of real interest to Ukraine now though after they won their opening two matches against the Czech Republic and Slovakia in that competition. They are now very well placed to win that group and potentially secure entry to Euro 2020 via the backdoor. They face the Czechs again next week with home advantage and will be really targeting that match.
Ukraine is still managed by Andriy Shevchenko, who is, of course, a household name in Italy. He didn’t make a great start to his time in the national team hot-seat but things have certainly picked up of late. Ukraine is unbeaten in 2018 and hasn’t lost any of their 7 matches since the end of their World Cup qualifying campaign, which should see them take real confidence into this one.
Italy meanwhile has only won once since the dismal end to their bid to make it to Russia. It’s just 1 win in 9 matches overall now, which is a dreadful run for a side of their pedigree. The overall impression remains that legends have departed the international scene while fresh talent has been relatively slow in emerging. This is clearly a rebuilding process, with no fewer than 15 players in this squad yet to reach 10 caps and overall backing Ukraine Double Chance appeals here with the Eastern Europeans the more settled outfit and in much the better form.
Going for Both Teams to Score also looks good. This is no longer the rock-solid Italy of old and they’ve gone 7 games without a clean sheet heading into this, with 5 of the last 6 producing goals at each end.
Seattle starts this game in the fifth position in the Western Conference of the MLS and is in a battle to confirm their place in the playoffs as they are only two points above seventh-placed LA Galaxy with teams needing to finish between third and sixth. Seattle has had recent defeats by Philadelphia Union and LA Galaxy but got an important win when beating Colorado Rapids 4-0 at home in their last game.
The home loss to Philadelphia is the only one of their last seven home league games that they haven't won and they'll be looking for more home points to get that play-off place though they have only one loss in their last eight away league games.
Houston is tenth in the Conference but 12 points behind their opponents and have little to play for. They have only won one of their 14 away league games this season and no wins in the last nine away league games with only two points from those games. They are on a run of three games unbeaten but two were at home and the other a goalless draw at Orlando who is bottom of the Eastern Conference. Seattle needs the points and can get them with a comfortable home win.
Celta Vigo has struggled since their 2 – 0 win over Atletico Madrid and they would give anything for another big scalp when they tour Seville. They are on a winless run of four matches – one loss and three straight draws, and with no clean sheet since their win over Atletico. Just like Sevilla, they have one clean sheet in five matches but the difference is that Sevilla have four wins in the last five matches while Celta Vigo has one win in five outings. Both have scored in each of the five outings and we may be in for a high scoring game here with Sevilla averaging a goal conceded per game in the last five while they have scored 18 in the last five. Celta Vigo on the other hand, have conceded eight in the last five matches while they have conceded nine. Sevilla has three wins in the last five home matches and three clean sheets. They have scored eight goals and conceded one in the last two home matches and getting back to La Liga action they will be gunning for just their second league win of the season but stretching back to last season, they have four wins in the last six. Celta Vigo has managed just four wins in their last 15 league matches and has just kept two clean sheets in the process. They have lost eight of the last 11 away league matches and they have managed just one clean sheet and four wins in the last 15 away matches in La Liga.